Spatial hidden Markov chain models for estimation of petroleum reservoir categorical variables

analysis of ruin probability for insurance companies using markov chain

در این پایان نامه نشان داده ایم که چگونه می توان مدل ریسک بیمه ای اسپیرر اندرسون را به کمک زنجیره های مارکوف تعریف کرد. سپس به کمک روش های آنالیز ماتریسی احتمال برشکستگی ، میزان مازاد در هنگام برشکستگی و میزان کسری بودجه در زمان وقوع برشکستگی را محاسبه کرده ایم. هدف ما در این پایان نامه بسیار محاسباتی و کاربردی تر از روش های است که در گذشته برای محاسبه این احتمال ارائه شده است. در ابتدا ما نشا...

Maximum-likelihood estimation for hidden Markov models

Hidden Markov models assume a sequence of random variables to be conditionally independent given a sequence of state variables which forms a Markov chain. Maximum-likelihood estimation for these models can be performed using the EM algorithm. In this paper the consistency of a sequence of maximum-likelihood estimators is proved. Also, the conclusion of the Shannon-McMillan-Breiman theorem on en...

Adaptive Estimation Techniques for Hidden Markov Models

Spectral Estimation of Hidden Markov Models

This thesis extends and improves methods for estimating key quantities of hidden Markov models through spectral method-of-moments estimation. Unlike traditional estimation methods like EM and Gibbs sampling, the set of estimation methods, which we call spectral HMMs (sHMMs), are incredibly fast, do not require multiple restarts, and come with provable guarantees. Our first result improves upon ...

Relative Entropy Rate between a Markov Chain and Its Corresponding Hidden Markov Chain

 In this paper we study the relative entropy rate between a homogeneous Markov chain and a hidden Markov chain defined by observing the output of a discrete stochastic channel whose input is the finite state space homogeneous stationary Markov chain. For this purpose, we obtain the relative entropy between two finite subsequences of above mentioned chains with the help of the definition of...